Diagnosis: incapacitated. Kiev lost the remains of the legitimacy of the Donbas

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Results of the elections in Ukraine have again shown that Poroshenko not able to control the situation in the country. Kiev has lost not only the remnants of legitimacy in the Donbas, and the remnants of trust of Western partners. About this in a newspaper column to RIA “New Day” says Russian political scientist, head of the Center of Geopolitical Studies of the Institute of Innovation Development Dmitry Rodionov.

Elections in Mariupol were thwarted due to the ill-fated ballot printed on “Azov’s worker” and did not get to the sites. And it is not only in Mariupol. Even in Krasnoarmeysk, where the local TEC considered that the printing of ballots for the election are not suitable. Even in Svatovo and Lisichansk, where the cause was an excessive number of errors in the party name on the ballot.

For those who have not followed the situation, I briefly recalled the history of Mariupol confrontation. By all the laws of common sense in the city should happen was a stunning victory, of “the opposition bloc” (“OB”). Yes, the vast majority of the population of the state is disloyal (“separatists”, to put Ukrainian terminology) and go to the polls was not going to, because they do not perceive the Ukrainian government legitimate. Furthermore, there do not take “their” any Ukrainian party, even the so-called “opposition” represented by former members of the Party of Regions, which is in the Donbas considered traitors. But some part of the population still would have come just to vote for “OB” in spite of Kiev, to demonstrate that in the Donbas nothing to catch such as “dill”, “freedom” and other “radicals.” And it would result as in Slavyansk, where a turnout of just over twenty percent of the “ON” has received more than half the votes.

In Mariupol position of Akhmetov is still strong, who owns a significant part of the local industry, therefore, has significant administrative resources. Here Rinat Leonidovich did not fail to take advantage of this resource. And, apparently, all he caught with Kiev: MPs from the “OB” helped Poroshenko to push through amendments to the Constitution, and all opponents of the president is not the first month of every step shout about arrangements between the “OB” and the Bloc of Petro Poroshenko. But first, it went like clockwork: the CEC closed its eyes to the fact that the local election committee met on areas controlled by Akhmetov and the ballots were printed in the printing house owned by Akhmetov. At the same time the CEC even helped as best it could, clearing the ranks of electoral commissions from Akhmetov’s disloyal people. It was even when it caused outrage laughing pro-Kiev local activists. It was even when the “Gauleiter” of the Donetsk region Pavel Zhebrivskyi intent to cancel the election (for which, incidentally, he performed at the outset). CEC its position remained faithful to the end. Even when it became clear that Akhmetov will not hold elections by his rules. Even when the day before the election Zhebrivskyi called his chapter Ohendovsky offering reprint ballots and thus to save the elections; he actually “washed his hands” and said, well, sort it out themselves.

What happened? Some political analysts have hastened to declare that in Mariupol Poroshenko actually “thrown” Akhmetov. Is it so? It’s partly true. But “he threw, they say, not on purpose. He would have any “threw” the same way if it was necessary to save the person. “OB” was at some point a more convenient partner, which is easier to negotiate, and its victory in Mariupol would look convincing. They said Akhmetov actually “bought” this victory, “bought” the city. The deal was good, but then it turned out that Poroshenko has little to control. It’s especially in the Donbas. And political opponents of “ON” (or rather, economic competitors of Akhmetov, a long time pulling the handle to the Mariupol “gold veins “, suffice it to mention at least Kolomoisky) breast came to the defense of “democracy” and the conquest of “revolution of honor”- to disrupt the elections, depriving Akhmetov victory for which it has already been paid.

Kiev just threw up its hands. Like, it did everything it could, which was announced by Ohendovsky. Poroshenko said the necessary words to the effect that it is generally a disgrace, it is necessary to investigate the failure of the election, to punish those responsible, and without the fail elections held in November!

What did the story of Mariupol demonstrate to the world? Firstly, the Ukrainian regime cannot be trusted in anything and anyone, for it is not “ours”, they would not act on the basis of the agreements, but on the basis of short-term selfish interests or indications of the US Embassy. However, the latter can sometimes be in conflict with the first. It’ll be more on this later.
But the most important thing is another one. Kiev “threw” not Akhmetov, rather, not only Akhmetov. Kiev has betrayed the people of Donbas. Looking at the way by which the residents on controlled part of the region have been denied the opportunity to vote even for the Ukrainian party to Ukrainian law, by government, the residents of the DPR and the LPR want to take part in SUCH elections what is demanded in Kiev, poking a finger in the Minsk Protocol?

And see what Ukrainian politicians say about the prospects of elections in Mariupol.

“As for me, the best option was to adopt a decision on the impossibility of holding the elections of deputies and the head of Mariupol. In order to carry out at a different time in a different environment to navigate and compete, and which would guarantee the independence of the territorial election commission from the influence of foreign political forces,” said last week the deputy chairman of the CEC Andriy Magera. This is the mildest. Others expressed the same position, but more openly.

“The elections in Donbas today are a treacherous stab in the back to everyone who is fighting for the integrity and independence of Ukraine … First we must release of the territory of Ukraine from the armed enemy, the destruction of separatism, ban on participation in elections traitors and terrorists, and only then – the elections.” It was said by Lyashko.

“If I would be on place of Poroshenko, in Krasnoarmeysk and Mariupol I would have imposed a state of emergency and imposed a civil-military administration, as in some other administrative units of Donbas. It is unacceptable to continue the power remained with those who disrupted the elections,” said the Minister of information policy Oleksandr Bryhynets, who called the President to cancel elections and to enter in the cities of Donbas military dictatorship. How many such voices heard in recent times, requiring the ban of the elections until the completion of the “ATO”? Is it necessary to recall that the first was the voice of “Gauleiter” Zhebrivsky, calling to postpone the elections as much as 2017 year. Zhebrivsky, who on the first day of his work, announced that his main goal is the struggle with the “cotton wool” in heads and threatened to seize Rostov-on-the Don.

But they are right. Well, what there can be elections under occupation? What could be the election when there are the lists of terrorists? Only the occupation is not on the territory of the DPR and the LPR, but in the cities occupied by the Kyiv security forces. And terrorists are not the militia of Donbas, but military personnel of Ukraine, members of the so-called “volunteer battalions”, but in fact gangs of robbers, murderers, looters and rapists, many of which were replaced the camouflage on suits and became awarded politicians. Now they were heading in the Donbas as civil authority. It is militants of Kolomoiskyi, who leaders even before the war, called for the hanging of the supporters of the “Russian spring”, it is militants of Lyashko, who a year and a half ago, traveled to the Donbas, abducting and torturing people. These are the militants of “Right sector”, which is nowhere to branding. What neither party take – anywhere there are the “heroes of the ATO” with their rhetoric against the Donbas, which are different except that the degree of radicalism. It’s even the notorious “OB”, which although speaks words against the war, refusing to give Donbas a chance for peaceful self-development, continues trying to drag it into sinking deeper and deeper into a bloody farce and chaos of Ukraine. But even for them it is not given to vote the citizens of Mariupol, Lisichansk, Krasnoarmeysk, Svatovo. I’m not talking about dozens of settlements on Kiev-controlled territory, where elections are not planned.

Meanwhile, in the summer the U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine Geoffrey Pyatt made indispensable for the holding of local elections in Kiev-controlled Donetsk region. “We discussed the issue of local elections throughout Ukraine for October this year. I noted that the local elections in the cities such as Mariupol, Kramatorsk, Slavyansk, is very important in order to demonstrate that it is a part of Ukraine,” Pyatt said at a briefing in Kramatorsk after meeting with Paul Zhebrivsky.

And what is it? Why had Kiev disobeyed orders external control? Some believe that Kiev is just afraid to hold the election there, where it is initially doomed to defeat. But it is not true. It is just because of “OB” is opposition in name only, for Poroshenko it is no less his than the party of Kolomoisky, Yarosh or Lyashko. And for Kiev the win of “OB”, that does not put into question about Ukrainian membership of Donbas, but, on the contrary, stands for his full reintegration – the lesser evil. At least it is in comparison with the failure of elections that deny the legitimacy of Kiev residues in the region.

Kiev has demonstrated that is not able to be the moderator of the political process in the country. And it seems to Poroshenko no questions – and he actually did everything he could. But more is simply cannot. And this is the worst thing for Maidan authorities.

What finally won by Ukraine failed elections in Mariupol? There is nothing, but the alienation of even more people from the Ukrainian state, which simply stop considering it as theirs. At the same time it means a loss of faith rests in the fact that the regime is capable of anything to control. It is as from the “throw” Akhmetov so by the American masters. It is with all the consequences.
They say, yesterday in Mariupol suffered a complete defeat of the Ukrainian strategy for reintegration of Donbas. This is not so. Just there wasn’t any strategy. It could not be in the liquidation team. They may have only a tactic. It’s tactics of destruction. A strategy is plan over a long period of time. But in the long run I don’t see not only the Ukrainian Donbas, but the Ukraine.

2015, RIA “New day”