In Kiev it again began to smell by the “Maidan”: the so-called “Revolutionary right-wing forces” decided to take matters into their own hands. Some experts have already hastened to make statements about that is nothing more than another “storm in a teacup”, but let’s not jump to conclusions: the rebels have serious chances for success.
The opinions of skeptics based on the fact that any “Maidan” is impossible without the approval of the “Washington regional Committee”: huge amount of overseas money was invested both previous times in “revolution”. And now think about whether they need such a large crowd at the Goat’s swamp with a long standing in our days: because the situation has changed dramatically.
Both previous times the basis of the “Maidan” were the “office’s hamsters” and the boys-majors with splayed fingers. These people didn’t need any shocks, but they want a bright carnival under the slogan “feel like a creator of history!” Then well-known personalities came to the “Maidan” that to be promoted: they had to get to the section of the pie with very tasty pieces.
Today everything is different: people during the reign of the junta were hungry, and delicious production is not expected; everything edible has spread through the stomachs, and in some places — and cesspool, for example. In this situation, well-fed and famous, hardly anything get: it is easier to see how the toad wins in the struggle of the white and red roses, and then to negotiate with a slippery and bubbly one. This is clearly visible in the leadership of the rebels, which the core constitutes from little-known personalities, which had time and energy to sniff, and find out at the front how much a pound of trouble is.
The rebels are so terrible: they don’t need the extras. Or rather they do, but as human shield and sacred victim. They did not come to hold a meeting: colored adhesive tape “decorates” their sleeves, which is used for their identification in the heat of battle. The ideal speaker is a man of few words “comrade Mauser”: if you give him the word, then the opponent will not get up.
One can only guess how the Ministry of defense of Ukraine “lost” the formation of nests of coup in the hotel “Kozatskiy”: hotel is departmental, and if they had to prevent confusion, it would something to invent. For example, it was necessary to arrange a seminar for young lieutenants, immediately repopulating the building of reliable officers and thereby creating a strong point of counter-revolution. But, alas, this did not happen: the rebels were allowed to rent a conference hall and rooms; no one prevented them to move in. Now the security forces are threatening to drive out the “revolutionaries” of the Maidan from the building, but it is clear to all that this is possible only as a result of brutal fight in the city center, which will inevitably be accompanied with numerous victims and destruction.
Flip the calendar for a couple of years ago, in the days of the overthrow of Yanukovych. The end of February is not only the end of winter and the approaching end of the heating season in Europe, when disruptions in the supply of gas cease to be critical. Therefore, country-transiter can be allowed political turbulence, but with the condition that all “settled down” by the end of spring, or, at worst, by the beginning of autumn.
Now, therefore, the “window” was opened in Ukraine in order to hold the next “revolution”, which will be completed by the desired time, the advent on the political horizon of the new “looking” for gas transit. But if Ukrainian society fails to nominate such, then at some point they will decide about the open introduction in “Independence” Institute of external control. It has now, but at least the view is of the last vestiges of legal capacity in the state, and then the neighbors will not have to ask the opinions of mired in the chaos Ukrainians.
In favor of this speaks the fact that in the summer of last year in Ukraine there were many cases of explosion of the situation: and a scandalous election and the mass protests of farmers, accompanied by over-lappings of highways, riots of the miners from Volhyn’, and even well-known events in Mukachevo. The situation escalated only now that utter confusion reigns in the Verkhovna Rada and the Cabinet of Ministers: apparently its origin is also “postponed” by someone’s a very solid effort.
It is already possible to outline the contours of the “third Maidan”, it will be a small number of participants, but heads will roll right and left. In such a situation to pick up lying under the feet of a central authority — a thankless task: so much better to be a local prince on the model of the chieftain of almost a century ago.
And what about the current revolutionary situation — the coming days will show whether it will be possible to postpone the stabbing, or it will completely unguided.
Alexander Dmytrievsky
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